Monday, December 24, 2012

Bennett Consolidates Base; Storm Over Disobedience Comment Has No Electoral impact

It's still early to estimate the effect Naftali Bennett's disobedience gaffe had on his base of voters, and the impact Netanyahu's attacks might have in shifting votes back to Likud, since it's a weekend. In the mean time, the attacks on Bennett consolidated his party's base of support, according to a Panels Politics poll for MAKO.

סקר נפתלי בנט 23.12

The poll shows Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home) receiving 13 Knesset seats, whereas Likud remains stable at projected 36 seats, if elections were held today. The poll shows Labor with 18, Shas with 10, Livni's Hatnu'a and Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid with 9 seats respectfully, United Torah Judaism with 6, Meretz with 4, Otzma L'Yisrael (Power to Israel) with 3 and Am Shalem with 2. 

The poll also showed 42% of Israeli voters said they support Bennett over the argument about his disobedience commnent. Among Likud Beitenu voters, 45% support Netanyahu, whereas among Bayit Yehudi voters, 92% support Bennett.

Of Bayit Yehudi voters, 54% said their appreciation for Bennett has only increased since the storm erupted, and 85% said they think Netanyahu made a mistake in attacking Bennett. Likud voters, meanwhile, were almost evenly divided between those who said Netanyahu operated correctly (41%) and those who thought he made a mistake by attacking Bennett (38%).