Friday, December 4, 2009

How ElBaradei misled the world about Iran's nuclear program

(Yossi Melman-Haaretz).This week, Dr. Mohamed ElBaradei ended his controversial and unsuccessful term as director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency. His last days on the job caused a great deal of consternation, even more than the rest of his 12 years in the bureau overlooking the Danube, at United Nations headquarters in Vienna.

On Sunday, the Iranian government announced it would set up another 10 facilities for enriching uranium, beyond the existing two at Natanz and Qom. This was Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's defiant response to the IAEA board of governors' concern about aspects of Iran's nuclear program that "have military potential," and the agency's call that Tehran stop building at Qom and enriching uranium. The decision can also be considered a rude gesture to the person who was considered Iran's most important supporter and benefactor in the international community, ElBaradei.

ElBaradei was born 67 years ago in Egypt, and studied law at the universities of Cairo, Geneva and New York. He served in the Egyptian foreign service for about 15 years, and then began a three-decade career with the United Nations, first in New York and later in Vienna.
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He started off as an inconspicuous lawyer, but after being elected to head the IAEA in 1997, everything changed. Three nuclear crises took place during his term, in Iraq, North Korea and Iran. Thanks to the first crisis, he won worldwide fame when the Americans invaded Iraq. ElBaradei and his aides refuted the Bush administration's claims that Saddam Hussein had a secret nuclear program, and maintained that documents detailing Iraq's supposed attempts to acquire uranium from Niger were forged. They were right. Bush made a mistake, was misled or perhaps even lied.

ElBaradei's conduct regarding Iraq's non-existent nuclear weapons brought him a great deal of international prestige. He became a popular speaker in important forums around the world, and in 2005 he and the agency received the Nobel Peace Prize for their efforts to curtail nuclear proliferation.

The prize, as people who knew him observed, went to his head and made him haughty, arrogant and self-righteous. But that's when things began to go downhill.

"He started to behave as if he knew better than anyone else and could not make a mistake," one of the senior officials in the agency complained. But it was after winning the prize that his career reached a nadir that stained his earlier achievements. While it could be argued that ElBaradei hardly had any control over North Korea's unstable and defiant nuclear program, the poor management of the crisis with Iran has to be attributed largely to him - the Egyptian diplomat is responsible for his organization's placatory approach toward the Iranian nuclear program. For almost a decade, starting in 1992, the agency inspectors did not notice that Iran had a secret nuclear program that violated its international commitments. Even when the agency had the information, in 2002 (to a considerable degree thanks to American, British, German and Israeli intelligence), ElBaradei ignored it and made every possible effort to undermine its reliability.

He intervened repeatedly to distort his inspectors' reports on Iran's nuclear sites, and he made sure that the IAEA's periodic reports about Iran would be camouflaged in diplomatic gibberish. Time and again they repeated the phrase that "no proof was found" that Iran's nuclear program had military aspects, even though they were blatantly obvious. ElBaradei was opposed to sanctioning Iran, not to mention military action, and repeatedly attempted to conduct a dialogue with Tehran in order to reach a compromise.

It is not clear whether his backing for Iran stemmed from his origin - as some Israeli Atomic Energy Commission officials and others believe; from his legal background and careful phrasing; or from a naive belief in international diplomacy and dialogue at any price, while consistently rejecting the military option. Maybe it was all these factors. Whatever the case may be, his conduct toward Iran raised the ire of George W. Bush's administration, which sought to have him replaced.

ElBaradei's relationship with Israel, which he visited twice, was tense. To the chagrin of the international agency, he repeatedly called for a nuclear-free Middle East, which was interpreted as targeting Israel. His animosity toward Israel found special expression after the attack in September 2007 on Syria's nuclear facility. He ensured that Israel's name be mentioned in the IAEA reports about the Syrian nuclear plan, even though this was not necessary. And he added a paragraph stating that Israel had carried out the attack, even though it had never officially admitted doing so.

Given his conduct toward Iran and his attitude toward Israel, some in Israel even considered trying to defame him by presenting him as an Iranian collaborator.

Toward the end of his term, ElBaradei changed his tone about Iran, creating the impression that he had had awakened from his illusion that Iran could be convinced to compromise. In the past few weeks, he made several resolute declarations, saying that perhaps Iran indeed wanted to nuclear weapons, as Israeli and American spokesmen had been claiming for years. But this was too little, too late. It will not suffice to clear his reputation in the West, and more importantly, it will have no effect whatsoever on the fact that he misled world opinion about the real nature of the Iranian nuclear program.

Nuclear detector set up on Iran border

(Jpost).Israeli officials believe the international community is "starting to come to the understanding that Iran has been lying to everybody" about its nuclear intentions, a senior Israeli diplomatic official told The Jerusalem Post on Thursday.

The statement followed news of a UN agency completing a nuclear test detection station in Turkmenistan, just a few kilometers from the Iranian border.

The PS44 installation is the 337th facility of the International Monitoring System. It was set up by the Comprehensive Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO), a network of stations across the globe that monitors the atmosphere to detectnuclear blasts by countries secretly testing nuclear weapons.

There have been more than 2,000 nuclear test explosions worldwide since the Manhattan Project's Trinity trial in the US in July 1945. The last detonation occurred May 25, when North Korea said it conducted a test, an event that was detected at 61 of the CTBTO's seismic stations.

While the Turkmenistan site is part of a larger network, the opening of a station near Iran may signify that "the Iranian issue is finally gaining ground in the international community," according to the Israeli official.

More proof of this came when the board of governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) voted to censure Iran, on November 27, for failing to cooperate in international efforts to verify its claims that itsnuclear program has peaceful intentions.

"Luckily, Iran itself is decimating the efforts of even its most vociferous defenders to help it avoid international criticism," the Israeli official said.

Putin lauds expat Lieberman's 'brilliant political career' in Israel

(AP)>Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin praised Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman on Friday for his rise to a senior cabinet position in Israel after having emigrated from the former Soviet Union.

"We are very happy that people from the Soviet Union build such a brilliant political career," said Putin at a meeting in Moscow, referring to the foreign minister.

During the talks, the foreign minister called for closer ties and economic cooperation between the two countries. He spoke with Putin in flawless Russian, throwing in a few words of English.

Putin also praised Israel's sizable Russian community as "something that unites us with you like no other country."

COMING SOON! "Thursday Night Live" from NY-The Bibi Report LIVE online show

Thursday, December 3, 2009

"Are you with us?" - U.S. falls short in bid to gain support from Quartet for Israel's settlement freeze

(Haaretz).The United States fell short in its efforts to gain a declaration of international support for Israel's temporary settlement construction freeze. The Americans were hoping that its partners in the Quartet - Russia, the European Union and the United Nations - would agree to such a declaration, but Moscow expressed a series of reservations and foiled Washington's effort.

Last Thursday, a day after the security-political cabinet decided to put a moratorium on construction in settlements for a 10 month period, a conference call was held at the highest levels among Quartet members. In addition to Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon, Europe's outgoing foreign affairs chief, Javier Solana, and Russia's foreign minister, Sergey Lavrov, were also on line.

Clinton proposed that the Quartet issue a joint statement of support for the Israeli decision to freeze construction. The other participants agreed and decided to let officials from each side formulate the announcement.

Heading the team tasked with formulating the statement was U.S. diplomat, David Hale, deputy to U.S. special envoy to the Middle East George Mitchell.

Hale initiated exchanges with his colleagues in the EU, the UN and Russia, but it quickly became clear that there was no agreement on the content of the statement.

Senior Israeli and American officials say that Russia was responsible for foiling the announcement, by expressing many reservations to the text proposed by the Americans - which was reportedly very short. At the crux of the Russian objections were two points that were very important to the U.S. administration: the Jewish identity of the State of Israel, and that the future border between Israel and the Palestinians would reflect developments on the ground.

The Americans proposed that the Quartet's announcement be based on the statement issued by Secretary of State Clinton last week, supporting the announcement of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on the freeze.

The proposed version called for the resumption of negotiations without preconditions so that an agreement could be reached which "would fulfill the Palestinian goal of establishing an independent, viable state, based on the 1967 borders, agreed upon exchanges [of territory], and the Israeli goal of a Jewish state with secure and recognized borders that reflect the developments [which occurred on the ground] and which fulfill the Israeli security requirements."

The Russians argued that they did not agree with stating that Israel will be a Jewish State, and that the borders will be altered on the basis of "developments" on the ground, namely Israeli annexation of the large settlement blocks.

The Russians stressed that such formulation of the Quartet's text predetermines the results of the negotiations.

Once efforts to convince the Russians failed, the Americans decided that there was no point in issuing a statement. A senior U.S. administration official told Haaretz that the without a consensus among the members of the Quartet, it would be impossible to issue a statement for the whole group.

WSJ: Do the Palestinians realy need a Statehood? A promising Palestine quietly developing, with Israeli assistance.

(TOM GROSS-WSJ).It is difficult to turn on a TV or radio or pick up a newspaper these days, without finding some pundit or other deploring the dismal prospects for Israeli-Palestinian peace or the dreadful living conditions of the Palestinians. Even supposedly neutral news reporters regularly repeat this sad tale. "Very little is changing for the Palestinian people on the ground," I heard BBC World Service Cairo correspondent Christian Fraser tell listeners three times in a 45 minute period the other evening.

In fact nothing could be further from the truth. I had spent that day in the West Bank's largest city, Nablus. The city is bursting with energy, life and signs of prosperity, in a way I have not previously seen in many years of covering the region.

As I sat in the plush office of Ahmad Aweidah, the suave British-educated banker who heads the Palestinian Securities Exchange, he told me that the Nablus stock market was the second best-performing in the world so far in 2009, after Shanghai. (Aweidah's office looks directly across from the palatial residence of Palestinian billionaire Munib al-Masri, the wealthiest man in the West Bank.)

Later I met Bashir al-Shakah, director of Nablus's gleaming new cinema, where four of the latest Hollywood hits were playing that day. Most movies were sold out, he noted, proudly adding that the venue had already hosted a film festival since it opened in June.

Wandering around downtown Nablus the shops and restaurants I saw were full. There were plenty of expensive cars on the streets. Indeed I counted considerably more BMWs and Mercedes than I've seen, for example, in downtown Jerusalem or Tel Aviv.

And perhaps most importantly of all, we had driven from Jerusalem to Nablus without going through any Israeli checkpoints. The government of Benjamin Netanyahu has removed them all since the Israeli security services (with the encouragement and support of President George W. Bush) were allowed, over recent years, to crush the intifada, restore security to the West Bank and set up the conditions for the economic boom that is now occurring. (There was one border post on the return leg of the journey, on the outskirts of Jerusalem, but the young female guard just waved me and the two Palestinians I was traveling with, through.)

The shops and restaurants were also full when I visited Hebron recently, and I was surprised to see villas comparable in size to those on the Cote d'Azur or Bel Air had sprung up on the hills around the city. Life is even better in Ramallah, where it is difficult to get a table in a good restaurant. New apartment buildings, banks, brokerage firms, luxury car dealerships and health clubs are to be seen. In Qalqilya, another West Bank city that was previously a hotbed of terrorists and bomb-makers, the first ever strawberry crop is being harvested in time to cash in on the lucrative Christmas markets in Europe. Local Palestinian farmers have been trained by Israeli agriculture experts and Israel supplied them with irrigation equipment and pesticides.

A new Palestinian city, Ruwabi, is to be built soon north of Ramallah. Last month, the Jewish National Fund, an Israeli charity, helped plant 3,000 tree seedlings for a forested area the Palestinian planners say they would like to develop on the edge of the new city. Israeli experts are also helping the Palestinians plan public parks and other civic amenities.

Outsiders are beginning to take note of the turnaround too. The official PLO Wafa news agency reported last week that the 3rd quarter of 2009 witnessed near-record tourism in the Palestinian Authority, with 135,939 overnight hotel stays in 89 hotels that are now open. Almost half the guests come from the U.S or Europe.

Palestinian economic growth so far this year—in a year dominated by economic crisis elsewhere—has been an impressive 7% according to the IMF, though Palestinian Prime Minister Salam Fayad, himself a former World Bank and IMF employee, says it is in fact 11%, partly helped along by strong economic performances in neighboring Israel.

In Gaza too, the shops and markets are crammed with food and goods. But while photos from last Friday's Palestine Today newspaper, for example, depict sumptuous Eid celebrations, these are not the pictures you are ever likely to see on the BBC or Le Monde or the New York Times. No, Gaza is not like a "concentration camp," nor is the "humanitarian crisis in Gaza is on the scale of Darfur," as British journalist Lauren Booth (who is also Tony Blair's sister-in-law) has said.

In June, the Washington Post's Jackson Diehl related how Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas had told him why he had turned down Ehud Olmert's offer last year to create a Palestinian state on 97% of the West Bank (with 3% of pre-1967 Israeli land being added to make up the shortfall). "In the West Bank we have a good reality," Abbas told Diehl. "The people are living a normal life," he added in a rare moment of candor to a Western journalist.

Nablus stock exchange head Ahmad Aweidah went further in explaining to me why there is no rush to declare statehood, saying ordinary Palestinians need the IDF to help protect them from Hamas, as their own security forces aren't ready to do so by themselves yet.

The truth is that an independent Palestine is now quietly being built, with Israeli assistance. So long as the Obama administration and European politicians don't clumsily meddle as they have in the past and make unrealistic demands for the process to be completed more quickly than it can be, I am confident the outcome will be a positive one. (The last time an American president—Bill Clinton in 2000—tried to hurry things along unrealistically, it merely resulted in blowing up in everybody's faces—literally—and set back hopes for peace by some years.)

Israelis and Palestinians may never agree on borders that will satisfy everyone. But that doesn't mean they won't live in peace. Not all Germans and French agree who should control Alsace Lorraine. Poles and Russians, Slovenes and Croats, Britons and Irish, and peoples all over the world, have border disputes. But that doesn't keep them from coexisting with one another. Nor—so long as partisan journalists and human rights groups don't mislead Western politicians into making bad decisions—will it prevent Israelis and Palestinians from doing so.

Obama sets deadline to Iran, Warns: Time running out for Iran ; Merkel: Iran testing our patience

(Reuters).Time is running out for Iran to avoid sanctions over its nuclear program, a White House spokesman said on Thursday, and Tehran's deadline is still the end of the year for responding to international demands.

"Time is running out. That deadline is the end of the year," White House spokesman Robert Gibbs told reporters in a news briefing.

Earlier, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Iran is testing the international community's patience over its nuclear program and further sanctions must be considered if it does not cooperate with the West.

After meeting Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in Berlin, Merkel said that Brazil, the United States and European powers shared a desire for Iran to show transparency and cooperate with the International Atomic Energy Agency.

"We are pursuing two tracks: on the one hand making Iran offers for a good, common development," she told a joint news conference with Lula. "But on the other hand, we are also saying if that is not the case -and our patience is being sorely tested - then new sanctions must be considered."

Netanyahu talks to settlement leaders: Reduce Tensions and respect freeze

(Haaretz, Jpost).Defiant West Bank settler leaders rejected on Thursday a personal plea from the prime minister to respect a construction freeze in the territories, vowing to keep confronting security forces sent to enforce the edict.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu summoned settler leaders to a Tel Aviv meeting on Thursday morning in a bid to defuse the tensions.

Netanyahu told the settlement heads that "We need to pass through this period together in a spirit of cooperation."

"Instead of creating an atmosphere of crisis, we should focus on getting out of this period and overcoming the problems together. We are only a few days into the process, and I ask that you show patience."

During the talks, West Bank regional council heads told the premier that they would continue to fight the moratorium, and voiced doubt that it would end after 10-months, as declared by Netanyahu. The head of the Jordan Valley Regional Council, David Alhiani David Elhani, lambasted the prime minister over the freeze.

"Am I your enemy?" he asked. "Why are you treating me like an enemy?"

Settler leader Dani Dayan called the three-hour meeting difficult and emotionally charged. Speaking on Israel Radio, he said the settlers would continue their struggle against the freeze, both through civil disobedience and legal challenges. The settlers have scheduled a mass demonstration next week in Jerusalem.

Netanyahu's bureau, for its part, said the meeting was businesslike and was held in a respectful manner.

At the end of the meeting, the bureau said, Netanyahu noted 30 complaints the settlers made about the implementation of the freeze, and said he would relay them to Defense Minister Ehud Barak.

During the two-hour meeting, Netanyahu told the settlers he respected their right to disagree, but told them they must respect the rule of law. "You have the right to demonstrate. You have the right to protest. You have the right to express an opinion, but it's unacceptable not to respect a decision that was taken by law," Netanyahu said, according to a statement released by his office.

"I want you as leaders to hold the steering wheel with us, The real solution is through dialogue and finding solutions during this limited time period. we need to get through this period together by cooperation, instead of creating an atmosphere of crisis in order to focus on leaving the period of moratorium, and overcome the problems together,"

Netanyahu told them, "This step makes clear to the central actors in the world that Israel is serious in its intentions to achieve peace, while the Palestinians are the ones refusing to start peace negotiations. This step has made clear who the peace resisters are."

"Nine months and three weeks remain to the end of this period," Netanyahu said. "At the end of this period we will continue to build. I want to make clear, the future of the settlements will be decided only in a peace agreement."

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

Arab world trashes UN resolutions - Lebanese cabinet endorses Hizbullah's right to keep arms

(AP).Lebanon's new government Wednesday endorsed Hizbullah's right to keep its weapons, the latest sign that the group has no intention of meeting a UN resolution calling for it to disarm.

Lebanon's government is a shaky coalition of Western-backed factions and Hizbullah, which has virtual veto power over the government. The group is said to have thousands of rockets and missiles hidden in basements and bunkers throughout Shi'ite Muslim areas of the country.

A United Nations resolution that ended the Second Lebanon War calls on the group to disarm.

Hizbullah leader Sheik Hassan Nasrallah said recently that his group has replenished its weapons stock since 2006 and now has more than 30,000 rockets, which he said can strike virtually anywhere in Israel.

On Monday, Nasrallah said Hizbullah would further improve its weapons capabilities to face off any Israeli threat, adding that armed struggle was the only way to regain "Arab lands" captured by Israel.

All 30 cabinet ministers voted Wednesday to approve the policy statement that endorses Hizbullah's right to keep its weapons. Five ministers from the pro-Western majority expressed "reservations" over the clause addressing Hizbullah, but did not vote against it.

Likud activist to Netanyahu: Likud will not fall from power because of Right

Some 50 central Likud activists and local municipal heads met with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the head of the Likud's Petah Tikva branch, Ori Faraj to send him their message that "no one will teach us what Zionism is."

Those present at the meeting leveled criticism at the Likud ministers and Knesset members who did not come to Netanyahu's defense in the face of criticism of the building freeze move. "We will not repeat the mistakes of '92 and '99 when the Likud fell from power because of the Right," they said.

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Aluf Benn / What Netanyahu really thinks about settlements

(Aluf Benn-Haaretz).Why did Benjamin Netanyahu alter his stance and agree to a Palestinian state and the freezing of settlement construction? Was he only giving in to pressure from Barack Obama, or were there domestic reasons? Did his assessment of the situation alter since he returned to power, or is this that "same old Bibi," who simply got hold of a new list of slogans?

More than previous premiers, Netanyahu considers himself a leader and an intellectual. It is important to him that his policy rely on an extensive worldview, and he has written books presenting his political and economic viewpoints. It is, therefore, worthwhile listening to what Netanyahu has been saying in recent weeks in a series of speeches revealing his strategic outlook; they express deep fear of the threats facing Israel and introduce preferences for countering them.

This is Netanyahu's fear scale: "First, Iran must be prevented from developing a military nuclear capability. Second, we need to find an appropriate solution to the missile and rocket threat. And third, we must reinforce the right of Israel to defend itself."

What to do? Netanyahu wants the international community to rally and impose strict sanctions on Iran and undertake actions to undermine the regime. He is proposing a peace agreement with the Palestinians, based on territorial compromise in the territories and the establishment of "secure and recognized borders" for Israel. Central to the agreement would be security arrangements and disarmament aimed at blocking the smuggling of rockets and missiles into the West Bank. This is the main problem, from the prime minister's point of view, and it will not be resolved by agreeing on a peaceful border. The defense solution must combine effective means for securing the border and intercepting arms shipments into the territories, as well as the development of missile defense systems. Israel will also request international guarantees that "bypass Goldstone" and will be based on Israel's right to defend itself against terrorism.

Netanyahu estimates the security requirements will cost tens of billions of dollars, and for Israel not to collapse economically, it will need to retain annual growth of 4-5 percent. He thinks the money can be found in bureaucratic efficiency, privatization of state lands and incentives for high-tech industries and entrepreneurs. But economic reforms will not be enough. Netanyahu's security model relies on broadening Israel's dependency on the United States. The prime minister wants America to neutralize Iran, back it up in its effort to curb the smuggling of rockets, assist in the development of missile defense and take action to shelve the Goldstone report.

It is worthwhile paying attention to what is missing here: Netanyahu does not consider the settlements a component in the security of Israel. It is important for him to block the border against rockets, and maybe this will require the presence of a military force in the Jordan Valley. But the fact that Jewish settlements exist on the hills offers nothing. In his view, Elon Moreh does not protect Tel Aviv. This does not mean that he has decided to remove Itamar or Yitzhar, only that Obama's support is more important to him.

Netanyahu was not nurtured by the Yesha Council, and it is hard to recall his tours of settlements beyond the separation fence. He stopped at Ma'aleh Adumim and Ariel. The harsh criticism of him from the settler leaders, as a result of the building freeze, is not affecting his supporters the way it did Ariel Sharon. Netanyahu did not climb the hills with bulldozers like Sharon did, and did not sit with Zambish (Ze'ev Hever) to discuss maps and plans, but fought for the rights of Israel in television studios and at the United Nations and considers international support a lot more important than a few prefabricated houses. His support for settlers, in the argument with Obama over the freeze, centered on the call to allow them to have a normal life, not more growth.

During his speech at the Eilat journalism conference on Sunday, Netanyahu said: "The people in Israel and the Palestinians are tired of long-lasting war and want to reach a peace agreement." Like Menachem Begin, who went from "not a single inch" to "no more war," and like Yitzhak Rabin, who was shocked by the pathetic show of resolve among Tel Aviv residents during the Gulf War and opted for a compromise with the Palestinians, Netanyahu, too, understands that the majority of the Israeli public wants quiet and considers the settlers a nuisance. And this means the decision to freeze settlement construction for 10 months is just the first taste of domestic confrontation.

US and Israel close gaps as Iran reject dialogue - Ahmadinejad: Nuclear issue is resolved

(JPOST,JTA).Iran continued snubbing the world Tuesday, two days after defiantly announcing a decision to build ten uranium enrichment facilities in the face of international condemnation of its lack of transparency in dealing with the IAEA.

"Iran's nuclear issue has been resolved ... We will hold no talks (with major powers) over this issue. There is no need for talks," Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said on Tuesday, in a televised interview communicated by the Reuters news agency.

"Talking about isolating Iran (over its nuclear work) is a psychological war launched by the West ... Iran is a unique country ... and no country can isolate it," Ahmadinejad was quoted as saying.

During the interview, Ahmadinejad said Teheran is reviewing the option of decreasing cooperation with the UN nuclear watchdog and criticized Russia's support for the IAEA's resolution, calling it a mistake.

"Friendly relations with the agency are over. We will cooperate as much as they offer us compromises. We are reviewing this," he said.

The sharply worded IAEA resolution on Friday demanded Iran halt all uranium enrichment and stop construction of a newly discovered nuclear facility near the Iranian city of Qom. Iran responded by saying it would build even more such facilities.

"Russia made a mistake. It has no correct analysis about current situation of the world," Ahmadinejad said, maintaining that Britain and Israel had swayed the opinion of the UN body because of their animosity toward Iran.

The Iranian president later referred to US President Barack Obama's involvement in UN-brokered efforts to convince the Islamic republic to ship a large portion of its low-enriched uranium out of the country. "Obama's behavior is worrying. We expected him to make changes," he said.

Earlier on Tuesday, Iran's Fars news agency reported that Teheran would upgrade the quality of centrifuges installed at its UN-monitored nuclear enrichment facility in Natanz.

The report quoted top Iranian national security official Ali Baqeri as saying that the Islamic republic sought "to promote the quality of centrifuges, as the type of these centrifuges is more important than their number."

Israeli pundits say the Iranian threats are intended to test international resolve in the hope of getting an improved offer from the United States and other major powers: permission to enrich uranium to industrial grade on Iranian soil rather than in France and Russia.

But this time, the pundits say, the Iranians may have miscalculated, and the clear White House warning that "time is running out for Iran to address the international community's growing concerns about its nuclear program" could presage the end of President Obama's attempt to engage Iran and the beginning of the harsh sanctions regime Netanyahu has long advocated -- with Russia and China aboard.

Indeed, when he first met Obama in 2007, before either man was in high office, Netanyahu pressed the case for strong economic sanctions against Iran. Obama, then a junior senator, picked up on this and soon afterward sponsored the Iran Sanctions Enabling Act.

During their latest meeting in Washington just over three weeks ago, Iran again was high on the agenda. Netanyahu told journalists that time would show the meeting to have been very significant -- he strongly emphasized the word very -- language some pundits took to imply that major understandings on the Iranian nuclear issue had been reached.

For now, the signs are that Obama and Netanyahu are very much on the same sanctions page, with slightly different views on the timing. The big question is what happens if sanctions fail.

As Iranian leaders continued to react angrily to last week's IAEA resolution, a senior Russian diplomat said Tuesday that Moscow would back any decision to impose more sanctions against Iran, according to a Reuters report.

"If there is a consensus on Iran sanctions, we will not stand aside," the diplomat was quoted as saying. He added, however, that sanctions were not an immediate concern.

"We would rather have Iran cooperating more openly … to lift concerns, which are gaining more ground," he said.

Netanyahu: Freeze is temporary, we will continue to build


"We will go back to building at the end of the freeze.The future final-status accord in Judea and Samaria will be determined at the end of negotiations ! and not a day earlier."


(Ynet).Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stressed that the construction freeze in settlements was "temporary".

During a Calcalist convention the prime minister said, "We took this decision out of the widest national considerations and out of a desire to jump-start, to restart negotiations with the Palestinians,” he said at the beginning of his speech at the Calcalist convention.

"We did not mean to halt reasonable life in Judea and Samaria and that is why the decision does not apply to 2,500 units under construction, to 500 additional housing units we recently approved and to the construction of classrooms, public institutions and additional public structures,” he said.

"The settlers in Judea and Samaria are an integral part of our nation. They contribute, they serve, they volunteer – they are our brothers and our sisters, and therefore I with to make it clear to them, to the leaders of the world and to the Palestinians: this decision is a one-time affair and it is temporary. We will resume building after the suspension.”

"The future of the settlement enterprise in Judea and Samaria will only be determined in a permanent arrangement and not one day sooner, and I hope that the Palestinians desist from their refusal to open peace talks. They need it and we need it,” the Prime Minister added.

Yitzhak Benhorin: Obama deserves praise, not denigration,for commitment to Israel’s security

(Yitzhak Benhorin-YNET-Setting the record straight).The time has come to set the record straight and look into what exactly is being done by the current American president for the State of Israel’s sake. Ten months after he entered the White House, we can clearly say that Obama continues to safeguard of all the major interests pertaining to Israel’s security and welfare. He makes sure to maintain its qualitative advantage and preserves the intimate intelligence and security ties.

Israel continues to be at the top of the list of US aid recipients – about $3 billion annually in ongoing defense aid, and further aid beyond it aimed at developing special arms and mostly anti-missile defense systems, topped by the Arrow 3 project. The administration, which cut America’s defense budget, could have undermined its aid to the project and insisted on a US-made missile, yet it did not do it. A terrible president could have also ordered the removal of the American radar system from Israel. This radar can spot a moving baseball 2,000 kilometers away and is being operated by Americans.

Indeed, the current administration has been declaring in every opportunity its obligation to protect the State of Israel’s security, while backing up its words in practice.

President Obama promised Netanyahu to enter tactical and time-limited dialogue with Iran, and assess the move’s success by the end of the year. In practice, Obama is not even waiting for year’s end. At this time, the Americans are pressing on all diplomatic fronts in a bid to advance Iran sanctions. Obama also promised Netanyahu to shift to harsh sanctions and keep the military option on the table, despite pressure by leftist supporters in the US to stop talking about it.

Meanwhile, the president adopted significant steps vis-à-vis the Russians in order to enlist their support to the Iran cause, including a change in priorities in deploying American missiles. It is unclear whether annulling President Bush’s plan to deploy US missiles in Poland and the Czech Republic was made in the framework of a deal with Russia for the sake of the effort against Iran, yet in practice it appears that President Medvedev is cooperating with Obama on the Iranian front.

EU to propose dividing Jerusalem; Israel: EU stance on Jerusalem harms peace talks

(TheJC, Haaretz).A proposed resolution for the EU Council has been drafted by Sweden, the current holders of the EU presidency, Ha’aretz reported. The draft says that the EU should recognise Palestinian statehood with East Jerusalem as its capital.

It states: “The goal is an independent, democratic, contiguous and viable state of Palestine, comprising the West Bank and Gaza and with East Jerusalem as its capital.

“If there is to be a genuine peace, a way must be found to resolve the status of Jerusalem as the capital of two states.

“The Council calls for the reopening of Palestinian institutions in Jerusalem in accordance with the road map.”

The Israeli Foreign Ministry has criticised the draft resolution, describing as a threat to the peace process.

EU foreign ministers, including British Foreign Secretary David Miliband will meet on December 7 in Brussels to discuss the proposal.

Israel on Tuesday lashed out a new plan by the European Union to call for the division of Jerusalem with a future Palestinian state, saying that such a move by the EU would further harm the chances of renewing peace negotiations in the Middle East.

"The process being led by Sweden harms the European Union's ability to take part as a significant mediator in the political process between Israel and the Palestinians," said a statement by Israel's Foreign Ministry.

"After the important steps taken by the government of Israel to enable the resumption of negotiations with the Palestinians, the European Union must now exert pressure on the Palestinians to return to the negotiating table. Steps like those being led by Sweden only contribute to the opposite effect," said the statement.

The Gaurdian: Freeze won't hurt Netanyahu

(Guardian).Israeli rightwingers are furiously condemning the prime minister, Binyamin Netanyahu, for his 10-month freeze on building houses for settlers on the West Bank. They damn him as mimicking the pharaoh of biblical times in preventing the Jewish nation's development. They promise every possible action to thwart him.

For a prime minister who is also rightwing it's certainly an unusual – and brave – action. But those denouncing him might be getting into an unnecessary sweat, because of uncertainty about what the freeze will mean in practice.

Its declared purpose is to bring Palestinians back to the negotiating table by meeting their demand for a cessation of all construction on the West Bank, which Israel calls Judea and Samaria. It is also intended to mollify the international community, and the US in particular, by demonstrating Israel's desire to reach agreement with Palestinians about a two-state solution.

But Palestinians are not being drawn. They reject the freeze as inadequate; and say that in any event it does not include East Jerusalem, annexed by Israel in 1967, where the building of hundreds of houses for Jews continues apace. Moreover, in the world at large the responses are mainly lukewarm.

The West Bank equation is blindingly simple and yet, strangely, is acknowledged only by some Israelis. Each and every new settler house that is built diminishes the chance of creating a viable and independent Palestinian state because land is used that should be assigned to the projected state.

The settlements are but one of the issues that Israelis and Palestinians must sort out. A halt to building will not in itself bring peace. But ending construction and dealing with the fact that settler numbers have swollen to some 300,000 since the 1967 conquest of the West Bank, plus another 200,000 in East Jerusalem, are among the indispensable steps towards reaching a peace deal.

There are four points to make in regard to the freeze. First, Netanyahu says that only construction already begun will be allowed – which means about 3,000 housing units can go ahead.

Second, construction of public buildings such as schools and synagogues will continue – and permits have already been signed for 28 of these.

Third, the government has in the past promised, repeatedly, to halt expansion – but the number of settlements and the number of settlers have grown year after year, either with official permission or with the connivance of government officials and the undercover use of taxpayer money. Nor has the government been consistent in carrying out court orders to dismantle so-called "illegal outposts" on hilltops which are flagrant examples of building without permission. The army razes some of them, and they are promptly rebuilt by zealous settlers who have a messianic belief that God gave the West Bank to Jews; others are left alone.

You simply have to visit an outpost to see what's happening: a while ago the defence ministry forbade the carting of caravans through the West Bank, so now caravans are delivered in bits and pieces and assembled on site.

Fourth, Benny Begin, a more than rightwing member of Netanyahu's rightwing cabinet and son of the former prime minister Menachem Begin, has given soothing assurances about the freeze. He voted for it, he told Arutz Sheva, a rightwing news service, but after 10 months "the government will go back to implementation of the policy of previous governments, in whose times there was a marked increase in settlement".

He noted further "that if this decision will strengthen Israel's international standing, and houses and buildings will continue to be built in Judea and Samaria, and new residents will enter the communities, then this decision will also have advantages".

None of this satisfies Netanyahu's domestic critics on the right. Activists have set up a "taskforce in the struggle against pharaoh's decrees" and plan actions to include the rapid building of closed balconies in established settlements, adding homes to hilltop villages and organising protest vigils outside the homes of cabinet ministers whom they say betrayed their voters by supporting the freeze. Inside Likud – Netanyahu's party – cabinet members who were not in the inner group who approved the freeze are demanding re-examination of the decision. Silvan Shalom, the deputy prime minister, says the party has always supported settlements and "if there is an ideological change, it should be done by means of public debate in Likud institutions, not as it was done".

It is likely that Netanyahu will surmount the challenges. His coalition government is stable and no one wants to lose their cabinet seat. He probably also enjoys broad public support – surveys have shown that many Israelis dislike the West Bank settlements. He even stands to gain in world terms: his noisy critics strengthen his projected image of a man determined to pursue peace with Palestinians.

Netanyahu at least has rare support – though qualified – from the left: Hagit Ofran, the Peace Now movement's expert on settlements, speaks of a "historical day" and says she is "cautiously optimistic". She notes that "in terms of words and declarations, there is a settlement freeze; in terms of deeds – it is too early to know".

Monday, November 30, 2009

ADL and Rep. Ackerman call Netanyahu's Settlement freeze - "courageous and unprecedented".

The ADL:

The Anti-Defamation League (ADL) today called the announcement by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that Israel would freeze West Bank settlement building for 10 months a “courageous and unprecedented” tangible expression of Israel’s deep desire for a peaceful settlement of the conflict.

Robert G. Sugarman, ADL National Chair, and Abraham H. Foxman, ADL National Director issued the following statement:

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu took a courageous and unprecedented step in announcing a 10-month freeze on building in West Bank settlements in order to spur peace negotiations with the Palestinians.

This politically difficult decision unquestionably demonstrates Israel’s deep and ongoing commitment to reaching a negotiated peace agreement with the Palestinians. As Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and former Senator George Mitchell both clearly acknowledged, the pledge announced by Prime Minister Netanyahu is more than any other Israeli government has done with regard to settlements and “helps move forward toward resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.”

We join with Israel and the United States in calling on the leadership of the Palestinian Authority and the Arab world to respond meaningfully to this significant step by Israel, and take their own meaningful action to promote reconciliation, peace and security with Israel.

Rep.Ackerman (D-NY):

“Today’s announcement is a very significant achievement for the Obama Administration and very clear demonstration of Prime Minister Netanyahu’s readiness to make hard decisions in order to achieve peace.

The temporary restrictions that Israel is adopting—purely as a matter of good faith—should be recognized by Palestinian leaders as an opportunity to reengage with the Israeli government in negotiations on an agreement that will finally put the conflict between Israelis and Palestinians to rest. I hope the Palestinian leadership and Israel’s Arab neighbors seize this opportunity. I fear, given past patterns and practices, that they will be tempted to again make the perfect the enemy of the good, and in doing so, diminish the hope on all sides that peace is possible.

What Prime Minister Netanyahu has committed to is highly significant and instead of responding with complaints, this courageous step should be cause for positive acknowledgement and for rededication to moving the peace process forward. These just announced steps are a very important demonstration of Prime Minister Netanyahu’s commitment to work for peace and to make sacrifices, including political sacrifices for peace. His decision—especially given the scant credit I expect he will receive from some parties in the region—is especially bold, and I congratulate him for it.

What is needed is for the Prime Minister’s courage to be matched by a willingness among all the parties to move ahead to negotiate the most difficult and challenging issues that stand in the way of a final peace agreement.

As President Obama has reiterated, the United States is committed to achieving peace between a viable, independent Palestinian state for the Palestinian people, and a secure, democratic, Jewish State of Israel. The decisions announced today will, I hope, bring that achievement closer to fruition.”

Unwell Netanyahu speaks to Merkel by phone; PM to return to work Tomorrow

(JPOST).After a virus forced Binyamin Netanyahu to cancel his trip to Berlin, the prime minister spoke on the phone Monday evening with German Chancellor Angela Merkel.

The Prime Minister's Office said that in the "warm and friendly" conversation, the two agreed to try and rearrange the trip for mid-January.

The PMO added that the two discussed issues currently on the "diplomatic agenda."

Earlier Monday, following a second examination, the prime minister's physician, Dr. Tzvi Herman Berkowitz, confirmed that Netanyahu was suffering from a mild seasonal illness, and that rest and basic treatment should alleviate the prime minister's condition.

Dr. Berkowitz anticipated that Netanyahu would be able to return to work on Tuesday.

Sunday, November 29, 2009

Abbas isn't going anywhere - just a smokescreen for his unwillingness to negotiate peace with Israel

(Ottawacitizen).Palestinian Authority leader Mahmoud Abbas has recently threatened to resign over his alleged frustration that there was no progress happening on the Israel-Palestinian dispute. However, Middle East expert Barry Rubin argues the PA's actual goal is not peace, but Israel's elimination.

Palestinian Authority leader Mahmoud Abbas has recently threatened to resign over his alleged frustration that there was no progress happening on the Israel-Palestinian dispute. However, Middle East expert Barry Rubin argues the PA's actual goal is not peace, but Israel's elimination.

Once again we've seen a flurry of pseudo-events in the Middle East provoking much excitement and attention, despite having no real effect and significance. In this case, these include: the threat of Palestinian Authority (PA) leader Mahmoud Abbas to resign, his claim he would call new elections, and the PA saying it would issue a unilateral declaration of independence (UDI).

These words were taken seriously and as a cry for help out of profound frustration that there was no huge progress or solution happening on the Israel-Palestinian dispute. Of course, Abbas never had any intention of resigning or calling elections. He can't call elections because the PA fears it would lose them and Hamas, which rules the Gaza Strip, won't let them be held there.

His real motivation is to prove hardline; get all; gain leverage.

As for frustration at the stalemate, it is easily demonstrable that Abbas and the PA are precisely those responsible for the lack of progress. Instead, the Palestinians are always presented as victims, passive observers, people who have nothing to do with their own fate.

Ironically, despite its "progressive" packaging, this world view arises from the same place as imperialist-racist thinking that these are "primitive" people who don't have any ideas or goals of their own. They are mere reflections of what "we" do and hence perpetual victims. They cannot take responsibility, they can only be acted on and then reflect what is done to them.

Thus, everything must always be the fault of Israel or America or the West. Palestinians never actually "do" anything. The fact is that their basic problem arises from their strategy of seeking Israel's destruction over a compromise peace that would mean the conflict's end in a permanent two-state solution.

This is clear in any accurate factual account of what has happened. That Yasser Arafat and the Palestinian leadership were offered a Palestinian state with its capital in east Jerusalem and billions of dollars in start-up funding twice in the year 2000, at Camp David and in the December 2000 plan of president Bill Clinton. That instead they launched a war against Israel that went on for five years and cost thousands of lives. Having lost that war they dug in with intransigence that has lasted to the present day about negotiating a just and lasting peace. After all, Abbas is now refusing even to negotiate with Israel.

Instead, the PA prefers to negotiate a partnership with Hamas, which would be in place now if the PA's demands weren't too high for the radical Islamist group that rules the Gaza Strip. Palestinian politics is so riddled with extremism that Hamas with its genocidal, anti-Semitic fight-for-a-thousand-years-who-cares-how-many-people-get-killed policy has a broad appeal on a basis of decades of PLO propaganda to the same effect.

And why did Abbas hit a "dead end"? Why is there a "morass"? Could it be he is weak, the leadership in general extremist, and the movement is not interested in or capable of making peace with Israel, despite the extravagant offers made by former Israeli prime minister Ehud Olmert for a comprehensive settlement?

The story of the resignation, election call and unilateral independence declaration fits in this context. The United States reached a deal with Israel that should have been satisfactory. Israel agreed not to start any more apartment construction on existing settlements once the current 3,000 units are finished. This did not apply to Jerusalem. Secretary of State Hilary Clinton rightly saw this as a huge concession especially because Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu placed his coalition in jeopardy to do it and got nothing in exchange.

Abbas, however, basically ignored this deal and demanded that all construction must stop right now or he wouldn't talk at all. In addition, he rejected, after a brief wait, a U.S. request that he not push the tendentious Goldstone report in the UN. After all, Obama reasoned, claiming that Israel is a war criminal and demanding it be severely punished was not conducive to making peace with it.

The PA leadership rejected Obama's request, with the leaders competing with each other and Hamas to prove their militancy. So it organized riots in Jerusalem, and embarked on the charade of Abbas's resignation (to mobilize support for him), pretending to call elections (to prove its backing by the masses), and play at a UDI move.

But there is also a deeper significance to the UDI gambit. The PA does not want to negotiate peace with Israel for three reasons:

- Its actual goal is Israel's elimination, not stabilization in a two-state arrangement.

- If it makes any agreement, it would only be with loopholes allowing a second stage of struggle to achieve that goal, something Israel would not accept. Examples include refusal to have an unmilitarized state, give security guarantees, agree to settle all Palestinian refugees in Palestine, accept Israel as a Jewish state, or even specify a full peace treaty ends the conflict and Palestinian claims forever.

- To negotiate a peace treaty with Israel would force the PA to make concessions which would not be popular, much of the leadership opposes, and Hamas would use as leverage to claim the PA has committed treason.

Consequently, it is far more appealing to ask outside powers to give the PA a state without having to bargain at all with Israel. This gambit isn't going to work.

Of course, if the Palestinian leadership wanted to end the "occupation" and get rid of settlements on its territory there's a simple solution. It need merely negotiate peace with Israel as soon as possible. This could all have happened years ago.

The fact that it isn't happening now or for years to come is due to the PA's rejection of peace. To keep the door open for total victory in the future, to avoid compromising, to prevent internal conflict, it is willing to wait much longer, let its people suffer, and use both real and fictional suffering as leverage in an attempt to get far more.

Barak Justifies Labor's Role in Netanyahu Government

(IsraelNN.com) Defense Minister Ehud Barak justified his decision to participate in the Likud-led government at a Sunday night meeting of Labor party activists at the Tel Aviv Exhibition Grounds. Responding to internal criticism of his decision to sit together with Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, the Labor chairman explained that without the inclusion of his party in the coalition, a narrow nationalist government would never have been able to freeze Jewish construction or move forward with the creation of an Arab state in Judea and Samaria.

Noting that Sunday was the 62nd anniversary of the passing of United Nations General Assembly Resolution 181 that recommended the partition of western Palestine into separate Jewish and Arab states, Barak said that the intent of the international community in 1947 was to create two states for two peoples. He added that in addition to trying to bring the U.N. General Assembly’s 62-year-old recommendation to fruition, there were a number of additional matters that showed the Labor party to be a central force in Netanyahu’s coalition.

“Everyone should close his eyes and ask himself what would happen without us. We were correct in our choice and decision to join the government. Would a narrow nationalist government that included Uri Ariel and Michael Ben-Ari [both of them National Union MKs] be able to make the decision to move forward with the vision of two states for two peoples? Would such a government be able to freeze Jewish construction in Judea and Samaria?”

“Even those who criticized our joining the government see eight months later the effect of Labor’s involvement, which is central in the government. If we had not joined, we would have MKs Yaakov Katz (National Union) and Uri Orbach (Jewish Home) in our place. This government understands the necessity of negotiations for reaching a two-state solution and ending the conflict.”

PM Netanyahu cancels trip to Berlin over "viral infection" .

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his cabinet on Sunday were forced to cancel their planned visit to Germany, after the premier fell ill and was advised by his physician not travel.

The prime minister was diagnosed with a viral infection and a light fever late Sunday evening, after returning from the Eilat Journalist Conference. His doctor recommended he stay home however, to recuperate from the virus.

He and his ministers were supposed to travel to Berlin for a joint cabinet session with their German counterparts, a symbol highlighting the two nations' bond six decades after the Holocaust. The session has been postponed until a later date.

An official at the PM's Office reported that Netanyahu had begun feeling unwell in the morning hours, but took part in a Likud minister's meeting and in the weekly cabinet meeting. In the afternoon, the prime minister delivered an address at the Eilat Journalism Conference despite his condition.

While flying back from the southern city the prime minister complained of pains, and he was examined by his personal doctor upon landing. The doctor recommended that Netanyahu remain in Israel in order to recover from the illness.

The prime minister's advisor, Uzi Arad, telephoned senior officials in the German chancellor's office after it was decided that the prime minister and his entourage would not be able to arrive in Berlin as planned. The German officials consulted Merkel and decided not to hold the meeting between the two governments without the prime minister.

Aides to the prime minister said he was not suffering from any serious medical condition, just a virus that requires rest and abstention from extraneous activities.

PM Netanyahu: Now clear to all we want peace, Palestinians unwilling

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said at the Eilat Conference for Journalism that it is now clear to every objective observer that Israel wants peace. He noted, however, that he does not see the same willingness or determination on the Palestinian side.

The prime minister addressed the cabinet's decision to freeze the construction in settlements for 10 months. "I think that today it is clear to anyone who checks the facts that Israel wants peace. It wants to enter a peace process," he stated.

"I don’t see the same willingness, the same determination, on the Palestinian side yet. I see other signs. I see all kinds of preconditions for talks from the very first moment. I see them turning to the International Criminal Court or to the UN institutions in a bid to promote the absurd thing known as the Goldstone Report."

He called on the Palestinians to help startup the peace process. "Eventually, the agreement or arrangement will be difficult, it will require courage from leaders, and we won't be satisfied, but neither will the other side. It's as clear as daylight. It requires rising above, it requires largely abandoning tactical moves. We are heading to a move. To this moment it's unclear to me whether the Palestinian Authority and its leader are ready to enter this move.

"The people of Israel and the Palestinians themselves," Netanyahu explained, "are tired of the ongoing war and would like to reach a peace agreement. I hope the Palestinians do what is best for peace, and I'm telling you, what is best for them too. Because the alternative not to do it, not to advance a diplomatic process, will only benefit Hamas and its sponsor Iran and their different allies."

Iran playing with fire -In response to Obama's diplomatic effort, Iran approves plan for 10 new nuclear plants

(Reuters).Iran warns it will cut cooperation with UN, two days after IAEA votes to rebuke Tehran over secret enrichment plant.

The Iranian government on Sunday approved a plan to construct 10 new uranium enrichment plants, just two days after the International Atomic Energy Agency voted to rebuke the Islamic Republic for building an enrichment plant in secret.

The new enrichment plants would be the same size as its main enrichment complex at Natanz, state broadcaster IRIB reported.

Hardline President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said Iran should aim to produce 250-300 tons of nuclear fuel a year, it added.

Iran has one industrial-scale uranium enrichment plant near Natanz, in central Iran. The IAEA said earlier this month that about 8,600 centrifuges had been set up in Natanz, but only about 4,000 were enriching uranium. The facility will eventually house 54,000 centrifuges.

The newly revealed enrichment site, known as Fordo, is a small scale site that will house nearly 3,000 centrifuges.

State broadcaster IRIB said location of five the new plants had already been decided and that work on these should start within two months. At the same time, the parliament agreed that its Atomic Energy Organization should find suitable location for other five.

Earlier Sunday, Iran's parliament speaker said Tehran could move to reduce its cooperation level with the United Nations nuclear agency watchdog if the West continues to pressure the Islamic state over its nuclear program.

The Islamic Republic has already denounced Friday's IAEA resolution, which won rare backing from China and Russia, as "intimidation" which would poison its talks with world powers.

"If you do not stop these ridiculous carrot-and-stick policies, wewill in return adopt new policies and seriously decrease cooperationwith the International Atomic Energy Agency," Larijani, an influential conservative, told the assembly.

NYdailynews Editorial: Settle down, Mr. President: Pressuring Israel only makes Arabs more stubborn

(nydailynews-Editorial)Here's the latest dispatch from the annals of the "evenhanded" Mideast peace process - in which the Obama administration applies ever more pressure on Israel to make all manner of off-the-point concessions when it is clear that Palestinians' refusal to accept the very existence of the Jewish State is the insurmountable obstacle to progress.

Israel declared it was freezing residential settlements on the West Bank for the next 10 months, satisfying one of the chief demands of the Obama administration and of the Palestinians. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called this a "painful" step, and indeed for many Israelis it will be.

Secretary of State Clinton hailed the freeze, saying it "helps move forward toward resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict."

And as a reward for this supposedly momentous concession, the Palestinian response was: Take your freeze and stuff it.

They refused to return to the negotiating table because the Israelis reserved the right for Israelis to settle in East Jerusalem. Yes, in Jersualem.

Give them a square inch, they'll demand a square yard. And keep threatening and committing violence and demanding more. Because haggling over settlements has been merely a pretext for shunning progress toward a two-state peace, including recognition of Israel.

This is a truth that President Obama may now be waking up to - as he must.

Tony Blair Defends Obama On Israeli-Palestinian Conflict - "There is a way through here"

(Huffingtonpost).Former British Prime Minister Tony Blair came to President Barack Obama's defense on Sunday after a scathing New York Times editorial accused the White House of losing legitimacy and strategic standing on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

Appearing on CNN's "State of the Union," Blair urged, above all, patience in resolving a problem that has confounded so many previous administrations.

Asked if he agreed with the NYT editorial, which claimed that "Obama's own credibility [on Israel-Palestine] is so diminished... that serious negotiations may be farther off than ever," Blair replied:

I don't, actually. I mean, it won't surprise you to know. I think that, first of all, let me tell you that I have worked with Senator George Mitchell on the Northern Ireland peace negotiations. We work together very closely. He is, in my view, one of the most skilled and strategic negotiators I've ever come across. Secondly, I think President Obama, Secretary Clinton are completely committed to doing this. But third and perhaps most important of all, I went through situations in times in the Northern Ireland process where people were convinced the thing was going to fail. Where even at times, I found it difficult to see a way through. But you know, the thing is, there is a way through here. Because in fact both parties want to achieve a two-state solution.

Actually, the Palestinians have made significant progress on security. in fact, the Israelis are prepared, in my view, to change significantly their posture on the West Bank. And if we can get [captured Israeli soldier] Corporal Shalit released, than a major change in the way that we view Gaza. It's not without hope. And here's the thing... There is no alternative but to keep trying. The alternative to a two-state solution is a one-state solution and that will, I assure you, be a hell of a fight. So I think when we look at the various strands of negativity there are around at the moment and there always are in these negotiations, there are, nonetheless, positives. We've got to seize on them, work on them, and make sure that we bring about a situation in which the central strategic objective of President Obama, which is right at the outset of his administration, to make this process count and work is achieved.

Netanyahu to Germany for joint session with Merkel - serious upgrade of the relations to the highest level possible

AP, WaPo).Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu heads to Berlin Monday for a special joint session of the German and Israeli governments, a symbolic visit highlighting the two nations' bond six decades after the Holocaust.

It is the first time an Israeli government will convene in Berlin, the former headquarters of the Nazi regime. The visit is more than ceremonial: High on the agenda will be Germany's latest push to win the release of a captive Israeli soldier held by Hamas militants in the Gaza Strip. There have been growing signs in the past week that the sides are close to a deal to exchange hundreds of Palestinian prisoners for the soldier.

Netanyahu said Sunday that the visit would focus on Mideast security and diplomacy. "Germany is a loyal partner in the great efforts to promote peace and strengthen security," he told his Cabinet.

Since the two countries established diplomatic ties in 1965, Germany has become perhaps Israel's strongest ally in Europe. Germany is Israel's second-largest trade partner - after the U.S. - and the Germans have played a leading role in international efforts to curb Iran's nuclear ambitions. It also has paid $39.4 billion to Holocaust survivors in Israel.
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Monday's session follows a historic visit last year by German Chancellor Angela Merkel and her Cabinet to mark the 60th anniversary of Israel's independence. She addressed the Israeli parliament and expressed shame over the Holocaust. At the end of Merkel's 20-minute speech, delivered in German, legislators gave her a standing ovation.

Merkel's spokesman, Ulrich Wilhelm, said the top themes Monday would include environmental issues, economic cooperation and "progress of the Middle East peace process." He said the international effort to halt Iran's suspect nuclear program would also come up.

Though not on the official agenda, the German-mediated efforts to arrange a prisoner swap between Israel and Hamas will certainly be discussed.

Wilhelm would say only that Germany is "ready to give help and support wherever it is possible and wanted."

Netanyahu's entourage will include seven Cabinet ministers - including his defense and foreign ministers - who will meet separately with their German counterparts.

"This is a serious upgrade of the relations to the highest level possible," said Deputy Foreign Minister Danny Ayalon, one of the participants on the trip.

PM Netanyahu's Remarks at the Start of the Weekly Cabinet Meeting

Following are Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's remarks today at the start of the weekly Cabinet meeting:

"Today we mark the 29th of November, on which the UN approved General Assembly Resolution 181 to establish the Jewish State. The basis of a Jewish State is, first if all, a Jewish army, the IDF, and it is founded on the recruitment and volunteerism of our youth. This year there has been a welcome increase in the level of recruits, in number, including those going to combat units – a 7% increase. All those who are eulogizing and have discounted the enlisting and fighting spirit of our youth are invited to visit the main induction center. I intend to do so in the near future. You will be convinced that there are youth who are full of motivation, full of power, full of ability that enlist and, when necessary, fight, and support fighters. There is a welcome change. We will hear a relevant briefing, and the ministers will be able to be directly inspired from the impressive data.

Tomorrow I, and a group of ministers, will depart on a one day visit to Germany. These visits were decided upon during the previous Government by the Chancellor Angela Merkel who proposed that the Israeli Government and the German Government meet each year. The previous visit was held here in Israel, the current visit will be in Berlin. We will discuss a number of issues, each minister in his own sphere.

During this visit two subjects stand atop our agenda. The first is diplomatic-security, which has important ramifications regarding Israel's defensive capabilities. Germany is a true partner in the great efforts to both advance peace and strengthen security. The second subject is renewable energy, replacing petroleum and protecting the environment.

I would also like, together with all ministers, to take this opportunity, in addition to what we have already published/once again, to greet our Muslim brothers on Eid al-adha.

Deputy FM: Settlement freeze historic opportunity - I hope the Arabs won't repeat the '47 mistake

(Ynet).Addressing the cabinet's recent decision to temporarily halt construction in the West Bank, Deputy Foreign Minister Danny Ayalon said Sunday, "I hope the Arabs won't repeat the missed opportunity of November 29, 1947 Arabs and miss the chance to achieve peace yet again."

"(Prime Minister Benjamin) Netanyahu's decision to freeze the settlements is historic and unprecedented," Ayalon told a conference held at the Hebrew University in Jerusalem.

"Today there is a real opportunity, which is no less important than UN Resolution 181 (called for the partition of the British-ruled Palestine), to reach a peace agreement with the Palestinians. The problem is that the Palestinians never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity," he said.

"Since 1993 there has been an asymmetry in the concessions made by Israel and the Palestinians. Israel has given up on a lot, but the Palestinians have refused to budge and have not made any progress regarding Jerusalem, the refugees, the borders and the recognition of Israel (as a Jewish state)".

"Israel is determined to continue the peace process - but it takes two sides," said the deputy FM, "I call on the Palestinians to come to their senses and enter negotiations for peace."

Saturday, November 28, 2009

PM to reject Likud central committee to convene to debate freeze decision

(Jpost).Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu will not allow the Likud central committee to convene to debate his decision to freeze construction in Judea and Samaria, sources in the Prime Minister's Office said Saturday night.

Speaking in Ra'anana, at an event under the banner "Real Likudniks don't surrender," Likud MK Danny Danon told a crowd of some 200 party activists and settler leaders that on Sunday morning, he would deliver the required number of signatures ofcentral committee members to force a meeting of the committee to its chairman, Communications Minister Moshe Kahlon.

"The prime minister should have told the Americans that on Judea and Samaria, he would not surrender," Danon said. "We are starting a campaign to put the brakes on what Netanyahu is trying to do. We will be attacked for this and it won't be easy, but we, the silent majority of the Likud, will struggle and succeed."

Netanyahu's associates said that despite the signatures he could still avoid convening the committee. They said that even if there will be a meeting of the committee in a couple of months, it would deal only with procedural matters.

A source close to Netanyahu admitted that he had called Likud ministers and MKs and persuaded them not to come to Danon's event, which was not attended by any other MK. Danon stressed at the event that his goal was not to topple Netanyahu but to strengthen him.

Speakers at the event outdid one another in insulting US President Barack Obama. Netanya Likud activist Ben-Zion Ben-David said, "We overcame Pharaoh, Antiochus, and Salah a-Din. We'll overcome Obama too."

New York Times disappointed with Obama's Middle East stalemate

(Politico).New York Times editorial expresses enormous disappointment with the result of Obama's peace efforts in the Middle East so far, but then urges him to keep at it:
Peacemaking takes strategic skill. But we see no sign that President Obama and Mr. Mitchell were thinking more than one move down the board. The president went public with his demand for a full freeze on settlements before securing Israel’s commitment. And he and his aides apparently had no plan for what they would do if Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said no.

The idea made sense: have each side do something tangible to prove it was serious about peace and then start negotiations. But when Mr. Netanyahu refused the total freeze, President Obama backed down. [...]

Mr. Netanyahu has since offered a compromise 10-month freeze that exempts Jerusalem, schools and synagogues and permits Israel to complete 3,000 housing units already under construction. The irony is that while this offer goes beyond what past Israeli governments accepted, Mr. Obama had called for more. And the Palestinians promptly rejected the compromise.

Washington isn’t the only one to blow it. After pushing President Obama to lead the peace effort, Arab states, especially Saudi Arabia, refused to make any concessions until settlements were halted. Mr. Mitchell was asking them to allow Israel to fly commercial planes through Arab airspace or open a trade office. They have also done far too little to strengthen Mr. Abbas, who is a weak leader but is still the best hope for negotiating a peace deal. Ditto for Washington and Israel.

All this raises two questions: What has President Obama learned from the experience so he can improve his diplomatic performance generally? And does he plan to revive the peace talks?

The president has no choice but to keep trying. At some point extremists will try to provoke another war. and the absence of a dialogue will only make things worse. Advancing his own final-status plan for a two-state solution is one high-risk way forward that we think is worth the gamble. Stalemate is unsustainable.

Costa Rican president visiting Israel: Palestinians don't need army

(YNet).The recipe for peace between Israel and the Palestinians includes negotiations, honesty, immediate talks on the core issues, and the establishment of a demilitarized Palestinian state – this is the vision presented by Costa Rican President Oscar Arias in a special interview with Ynet.

In an interview with Ynet after meeting with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Arias said his attempt to promote Israeli-Palestinian peace stems from Costa Rica's unique history. In 1948, the year Israel was established, the Latin state approved its new constitution, which abolished the army.

"I think the whole world expects both sides to return to the negotiating table," Arias said, adding that he shared with Netanyahu his personal peace-making experience. Contacts must be held at the highest levels and the talks must be personal, he said.

"You have to look your opponent in the eye," he said, noting that late PM Rabin also stressed that peace is made with enemies.

The Costa Rican president said he accepted Netanyahu's call for a demilitarized Palestinian state. He noted that in his talks with the Palestinians he seeks to convince them to do without a military.

"A small, poor state like Palestine doesn't need an army," he said, adding that some courage is needed to take such decision and expressing his hope that the Palestinian Authority will have the courage to adopt such step.

Friday, November 27, 2009

Abbas Pragmatist??? Abbas rejects Israel's continues plea for Peace talks

(AP).Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas dismissed an Israeli plan to temporarily halt new construction of West Bank settlements as insufficient on Friday, saying Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu chose occupation rather than peace.

The Palestinian president said during his first visit to Venezuela that "we can't accept the current Israeli government's concept for the negotiations."

"We don't have any condition to restarting negotiations except the commitment of the two sides to the foundations of the peace operation according to the road map, and especially stopping the expansionist activities of the Israelis," Abbas told lawmakers, speaking through an interpreter.

He said Wednesday's announcement by Prime Minister Netanyahu of a 10-month halt to new construction in West Bank settlements didn't bring anything new because the occupation is going to continue in the West Bank and in Jerusalem.

Israel commends IAEA resolution - to censure Iran for developing uranium enrichment site in secret

(Ynet).The Foreign Ministry on Friday praised the UN nuclear watchdog's decision to censure Iran over its covert uranium enrichment plant, calling the decision "extremely important".

The ministry said a time schedule must be set for the International Atomic Energy Agency's resolution, which calls on Iran to immediately halt construction of the Fordow enrichment plant and confirm it has no other covert plants, and that if Iran were to stray from the time schedule it should be sanctioned.

"Israel commends the resolution regarding Iran, which was passed today during a meeting of the agency's board of directors, after a three year period in which no resolutions were made on Iran within this framework," the ministry said in a statement.

"The significance of the resolution is that it determines that Iran continues to violate Security Council and IAEA resolutions."

The Foreign Ministry added that the resolution proves the international community is concerned about such secretive behavior on the part of Iran.

"The passing of the resolution with such a huge majority proves the international community has concluded that Iran's nuclear program, progressing through deceit and concealment, has become a significant and urgent danger to world peace," the statement added.

A US official said the world should send a clear message that Tehran will face consequences if it fails to engage with major powers on the nuclear issue, but added that the US fears more sanctions would harm the Iranian people.

"We hope that the board of governors resolution reinforces the message that, you know, we're committed to putting together a package of consequences if we don't find a willing partner. We hope Iran takes note of that clear message," the official told reporters.

British Prime Minister Gordon Brown called the IAEA resolution "the strongest and most definitive statement yet made by the countries who are very worried about nuclear ambitions on the part of Iran."

FOX news report: Shalit Deal Nearly Complete

(FOXnews).Sources close to officials negotiating for the release of kidnapped Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit tell Fox News that a deal to secure his freedom will likely be concluded next week, when Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu returns from a trip to Germany.

A major remaining sticking point is disagreement over where to deport Palestinian prisoners from East Jerusalem.

Egyptian sources say that Hamas still needs to come back to Israel with answers on a handful of issues. But an official response is not expected until after the Muslim holiday of Eid al-Adha (Feast of the Sacrifice), which begins Friday and ends Monday.

Still, the latest developments indicate that the two sides have narrowed their differences.

"What we are seeing now is the end game," said one source close to the negotiations, who asked not to be named because he is not authorized to speak on the record.

Both sides, however, also expressed caution that a final agreement is very close, but has not yet been agreed upon.

Hillary's Thanksgiving present to Bibi - US accepting the remaining of large settlement blocks

"As part of a final peace settlement, Israel must have secure and recognized borders, which should emerge from negotiations between the parties in accordance with UNSC Resolutions 242 and 338. In light of new realities on the ground, including already existing major Israeli populations centers".(President George W. Bush - letter to PM Ariel Sharon 14 Apr 04)

"We believe that through good-faith negotiations the parties can mutually agree on an outcome which ends the conflict and reconciles the Palestinian goal of an independent and viable state based on the 1967 lines, with agreed swaps, and the Israeli goal of a Jewish state with secure and recognized borders that reflect subsequent developments and meet Israeli security requirements".(US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton - 25 Nov 09)

(Americanthinker).The Obama administration, following Netanyahu's unilateral announcement of a temporary settlement freeze, has agreed on a quid-pro-quo that builds on a similar precedent set by Ariel Sharon and George W. Bush in 2004. In exchange for Bibi's unprecedent move, the administration for the first time acknowledged specifically that Israel will be entiteled to retain lands captured in 1967 as part of any final peace agreement.

Five years ago, Israel's decision to unilaterally withdraw from Gaza in hopes of advancing the peace process was rewarded by a reciprocal Bush assurance to Sharon that the U.S. would, as part of any final peace deal, support "secure and recognized" borders for Israel and, that "in light of new realities on the ground, including existing major population centers, it is unrealistic to expect a full and complete return to the 1949 armistice line." Bush's letter also noted that "all previous efforts toward a two-state solution have reached the same conclusion," including the generous Clinton Barak initiative at Camp David in 2000.

Translated from diplomatic jargon, this meant that Israel could be expected to retain major population centers beyond the pre-1967 line like Maale Adumim and Gutsh Etzion. Significantly, Bush's assurances put the U.S. on Israel's side in rejecting insistence by the Palestinian Authority and Arab leaders on a complete Israeli withdrawal to the pre-1967 line, also known as the Green Line, also known, as spelled out by Bush, as the 1949 armistice line.

Now, five years later, Netanyahu takes a leaf from Sharon and unilaterally decides on a temporary 10-month construction freeze in West Bank settlements in hopes of reactivating peace negotiations.

And, at the same time, Hillary Clinton takes a leaf from George W. Bush and states on the record that the United States expects the Palestinians to agree to "land swaps" to modify the pre-1967 line and, even more importantly, expects Israel to end up with "secure and recognized borders that reflect subsequent developments and meet Israeli security security requirements."

Whichever way you cut it, Bibi got quite a bit of quo for his quid from Team Obama. Note also that Hillary's parameters for a final peace deal are totally silent about East Jerusalem, which the Palestinians demand as the capital of their future state, and fail to mention any "right of return" for Palestinian refugees -- even as they provide for the first time specific security commitments to Israel with regard to final borders.

But the specificity of Hillary's new statement about Israel's security requirements and final borders will not bend easily to any White House attempts to dilute the clear message from its secretary of state binding the U.S. to Israel's retention of built-up population centers beyond the Green Line.

Call it Hillary's Thanksgiving present to Bibi.