Sunday, January 6, 2013

Weekend Poll: Likud Beitenu's Downfall Stalled; Right Wing Voters Approve Economic/Security Situation

After weeks of decline, Likud Beitenu has managed to stop the erosion of support, according to a survey conducted for "SofShavua" by "Panels Politics" headed by Menachem Lazar. 

While the joint Likud Beitenu list would recieve only 34 projected seats, a drop from the 42 seats in the current Knesset,  according to the poll, 96 percent of Likud Beitenu voters are most certain with their vote. Unless something drastically happens, The Likud is unlikely to lose more votes to the right. is likely more significant reduction mandates, unless something drastic happens. 

The Bayit Yehudi headed by Naftali Bennett, has as of now stabilized with14 seats. However, after a nice increase in single-digit amount of seats only a few weeks ago. 

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
34 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
17 [08] Labor
14 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
11 [10] Shas
10 [07] The Movement (Livni Party)
10 [---] Yesh Atid
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Balad
04 [03] Meretz
02 [02] Strong Israel
Overall, the Right-Wing and Ultra-Orthodox bloc would win a majority of 67 seats, while the center-left remains at 53 seats. The rate of undecided voters is still at 17 percent of the total population.  

Whether its bad messaging, or a result of a divided nation, the partisan gap indicates that while overall 42 percent of those surveyed say their economic situation has worsened over the past four years, an analysis of the data indicates that 55 percent of them voted for center-left parties, compared to only 29 percent of right-wing voters. 

39 percent believe that Israel's security situation has deteriorated over the past four years, with 20 percent who believe that it has actually improved. Of course, there is a significant difference between left-wing voters, where 50 percent of them believe the security situation has worsened, compared to only 28% of right-wing voters who share the same vision. 

Moreover, regarding Israel's international standing, there was a more widespread acceptance. 62 percent of voters think the situation has worsened under the Netanyahu government, with only ten percent who think that Israel's position in the world has actually improved.