Sunday, January 13, 2013

Dahaf Poll: 18% Remain Undecided; 13 Seats Up For Grabs

18% of Israelis remain undecided 9 days ahead of election day, a poll published by the Yedioth Aharonot daily and conducted by Dahaf Institute showed Friday. The figure is the equivalent of 21 unclaimed for Knesset seats, out of 120.

According to an analysis of the swing votes, 24 percent of the uncertain voters (the equivalent of five seats) are leaning towards the center-left parties like the Labor Party, Hatnu'a with Tzipi Livni and Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid. 19% of the undecided are inclined towards the right-wing parties – the Likud-Beiteinu or Bayit Yehudi. This could provide the rightist bloc with an additional four mandates. The remaining 55%, which could account for 13 Knesset mandates, were unable to state their inclination towards whom they are leaning towards.

According to the survey, the majority of Kadima's 28 mandates from the 2009 Knesset elections will be divided between the Labor and Yesh Atid parties, while Livni only gets a mere 15% of her 2009 vote.

First Time voters are divided with their support between the Likud Beitenu, Bayit Yehudi  and Shas on the right to Labor and Meretz on the left, with Likud getting 18% of the vote, Labor 15%, Bayit Yehudi 14%, Meretz 13% and Shas 12%. Yesh Atid is less popular among first time voters, matching Amnon Yitzhak's strength, receiving 7% of their support respectfully. Tzipi Livni, in case you were interested to know, gets 0% of the Young/First time voters.